6 536 3 Source: B. Moore and B.H. Braswell University of New Hampshire Durham, New Hampshire, U.S.A. Model M: Stabilization scenarios - flux to atmosphere, fossil (Pg Carbon) YEAR S450 S650 1765.0 -0.1024 -0.1024 1766.0 -0.1007 -0.1007 1767.0 -0.0974 -0.0974 1768.0 -0.0922 -0.0922 1769.0 -0.0873 -0.0873 1770.0 -0.0820 -0.0820 1771.0 -0.0765 -0.0765 1772.0 -0.0697 -0.0697 1773.0 -0.0637 -0.0637 1774.0 -0.0576 -0.0576 1775.0 -0.0512 -0.0512 1776.0 -0.0448 -0.0448 1777.0 -0.0372 -0.0372 1778.0 -0.0304 -0.0304 1779.0 -0.0235 -0.0235 1780.0 -0.0165 -0.0165 1781.0 -0.0083 -0.0083 1782.0 -0.0010 -0.0010 1783.0 0.0065 0.0065 1784.0 0.0141 0.0141 1785.0 0.0229 0.0229 1786.0 0.0308 0.0308 1787.0 0.0388 0.0388 1788.0 0.0470 0.0470 1789.0 0.0554 0.0554 1790.0 0.0648 0.0648 1791.0 0.0734 0.0734 1792.0 0.0822 0.0822 1793.0 0.0911 0.0911 1794.0 0.1010 0.1010 1795.0 0.1101 0.1101 1796.0 0.1192 0.1192 1797.0 0.1284 0.1284 1798.0 0.1373 0.1373 1799.0 0.1463 0.1463 1800.0 0.1533 0.1533 1801.0 0.1595 0.1595 1802.0 0.1646 0.1646 1803.0 0.1698 0.1698 1804.0 0.1730 0.1730 1805.0 0.1751 0.1751 1806.0 0.1762 0.1762 1807.0 0.1772 0.1772 1808.0 0.1761 0.1761 1809.0 0.1740 0.1740 1810.0 0.1708 0.1708 1811.0 0.1664 0.1664 1812.0 0.1619 0.1619 1813.0 0.1553 0.1553 1814.0 0.1476 0.1476 1815.0 0.1387 0.1387 1816.0 0.1296 0.1296 1817.0 0.1185 0.1185 1818.0 0.1079 0.1079 1819.0 0.0981 0.0981 1820.0 0.0892 0.0892 1821.0 0.0822 0.0822 1822.0 0.0752 0.0752 1823.0 0.0692 0.0692 1824.0 0.0642 0.0642 1825.0 0.0612 0.0612 1826.0 0.0583 0.0583 1827.0 0.0566 0.0566 1828.0 0.0562 0.0562 1829.0 0.0581 0.0581 1830.0 0.0603 0.0603 1831.0 0.0639 0.0639 1832.0 0.0688 0.0688 1833.0 0.0751 0.0751 1834.0 0.0838 0.0838 1835.0 0.0930 0.0930 1836.0 0.1035 0.1035 1837.0 0.1155 0.1155 1838.0 0.1300 0.1300 1839.0 0.1449 0.1449 1840.0 0.1607 0.1607 1841.0 0.1732 0.1732 1842.0 0.1813 0.1813 1843.0 0.1857 0.1857 1844.0 0.1848 0.1848 1845.0 0.1821 0.1821 1846.0 0.1781 0.1781 1847.0 0.1738 0.1738 1848.0 0.1675 0.1675 1849.0 0.1607 0.1607 1850.0 0.1534 0.1534 1851.0 0.1167 0.1167 1852.0 0.0977 0.0977 1853.0 0.0803 0.0803 1854.0 0.0645 0.0645 1855.0 0.0506 0.0506 1856.0 0.0391 0.0391 1857.0 0.0304 0.0304 1858.0 0.0245 0.0245 1859.0 0.0215 0.0215 1860.0 0.0165 0.0165 1861.0 0.0294 0.0294 1862.0 0.0315 0.0315 1863.0 0.0356 0.0356 1864.0 0.0418 0.0418 1865.0 0.0501 0.0501 1866.0 0.0625 0.0625 1867.0 0.0758 0.0758 1868.0 0.0889 0.0889 1869.0 0.1016 0.1016 1870.0 0.1171 0.1171 1871.0 0.1267 0.1267 1872.0 0.1414 0.1414 1873.0 0.1593 0.1593 1874.0 0.1783 0.1783 1875.0 0.1985 0.1985 1876.0 0.2180 0.2180 1877.0 0.2407 0.2407 1878.0 0.2636 0.2636 1879.0 0.2875 0.2875 1880.0 0.3106 0.3106 1881.0 0.3029 0.3029 1882.0 0.3112 0.3112 1883.0 0.3255 0.3255 1884.0 0.3408 0.3408 1885.0 0.3551 0.3551 1886.0 0.3693 0.3693 1887.0 0.3855 0.3855 1888.0 0.4004 0.4004 1889.0 0.4141 0.4141 1890.0 0.4174 0.4174 1891.0 0.4291 0.4291 1892.0 0.4343 0.4343 1893.0 0.4387 0.4387 1894.0 0.4405 0.4405 1895.0 0.4402 0.4402 1896.0 0.4431 0.4431 1897.0 0.4474 0.4474 1898.0 0.4544 0.4544 1899.0 0.4641 0.4641 1900.0 0.4767 0.4767 1901.0 0.4335 0.4335 1902.0 0.4395 0.4395 1903.0 0.4527 0.4527 1904.0 0.4718 0.4718 1905.0 0.4932 0.4932 1906.0 0.5138 0.5138 1907.0 0.5388 0.5388 1908.0 0.5639 0.5639 1909.0 0.5878 0.5878 1910.0 0.6108 0.6108 1911.0 0.6890 0.6890 1912.0 0.7278 0.7278 1913.0 0.7611 0.7611 1914.0 0.7859 0.7859 1915.0 0.8163 0.8163 1916.0 0.8342 0.8342 1917.0 0.8559 0.8559 1918.0 0.8763 0.8763 1919.0 0.8966 0.8966 1920.0 0.9167 0.9167 1921.0 0.8876 0.8876 1922.0 0.8931 0.8931 1923.0 0.8990 0.8990 1924.0 0.9089 0.9089 1925.0 0.9128 0.9128 1926.0 0.9265 0.9265 1927.0 0.9369 0.9369 1928.0 0.9634 0.9634 1929.0 0.9964 0.9964 1930.0 1.0106 1.0106 1931.0 1.0131 1.0131 1932.0 1.0290 1.0290 1933.0 1.0475 1.0475 1934.0 1.0697 1.0697 1935.0 1.0949 1.0949 1936.0 1.1122 1.1122 1937.0 1.1405 1.1405 1938.0 1.1741 1.1741 1939.0 1.2140 1.2140 1940.0 1.2596 1.2596 1941.0 1.3248 1.3248 1942.0 1.3810 1.3810 1943.0 1.4423 1.4423 1944.0 1.5056 1.5056 1945.0 1.5718 1.5718 1946.0 1.5898 1.5898 1947.0 1.6506 1.6506 1948.0 1.7192 1.7192 1949.0 1.7957 1.7957 1950.0 1.8722 1.8722 1951.0 1.7953 1.7953 1952.0 1.8457 1.8457 1953.0 1.9369 1.9369 1954.0 1.9409 1.9409 1955.0 2.0097 2.0097 1956.0 2.0915 2.0915 1957.0 2.2713 2.2713 1958.0 2.4000 2.4000 1959.0 2.5205 2.5205 1960.0 2.6427 2.6427 1961.0 2.6007 2.6007 1962.0 2.6567 2.6567 1963.0 2.7180 2.7180 1964.0 2.8134 2.8134 1965.0 2.9524 2.9524 1966.0 3.1793 3.1793 1967.0 3.3843 3.3843 1968.0 3.5812 3.5812 1969.0 3.7888 3.7888 1970.0 4.0424 4.0424 1971.0 4.2406 4.2406 1972.0 4.4307 4.4307 1973.0 4.5277 4.5277 1974.0 4.6416 4.6416 1975.0 4.7554 4.7554 1976.0 4.8170 4.8170 1977.0 4.9605 4.9605 1978.0 5.1138 5.1138 1979.0 5.1976 5.1976 1980.0 5.2854 5.2854 1981.0 5.3423 5.3423 1982.0 5.3791 5.3791 1983.0 5.4450 5.4450 1984.0 5.4938 5.4938 1985.0 5.5760 5.5760 1986.0 5.6299 5.6299 1987.0 5.7155 5.7155 1988.0 5.7850 5.7850 1989.0 5.8526 5.8526 1990.0 5.8772 5.8772 1991.0 5.9433 5.9517 1992.0 5.9860 6.0432 1993.0 6.0252 6.1289 1994.0 6.0624 6.2147 1995.0 6.0996 6.3009 1996.0 6.1305 6.3859 1997.0 6.1644 6.4746 1998.0 6.1939 6.5588 1999.0 6.2276 6.6439 2000.0 6.2595 6.7276 2001.0 6.2536 6.7780 2002.0 6.2473 6.8323 2003.0 6.2444 6.8780 2004.0 6.2368 6.9275 2005.0 6.2284 6.9767 2006.0 6.2198 7.0256 2007.0 6.2102 7.0743 2008.0 6.2004 7.1187 2009.0 6.1901 7.1667 2010.0 6.1789 7.2104 2011.0 6.1674 7.2580 2012.0 6.1513 7.3013 2013.0 6.1387 7.3441 2014.0 6.1216 7.3911 2015.0 6.1123 7.4333 2016.0 6.0942 7.4797 2017.0 6.0757 7.5175 2018.0 6.0610 7.5631 2019.0 6.0416 7.6004 2020.0 6.0217 7.6457 2021.0 6.0056 7.6825 2022.0 5.9850 7.7230 2023.0 5.9638 7.7593 2024.0 5.9467 7.7994 2025.0 5.9248 7.8392 2026.0 5.9066 7.8786 2027.0 5.8880 7.9220 2028.0 5.8649 7.9610 2029.0 5.8497 7.9995 2030.0 5.8302 8.0381 2031.0 5.8102 8.0763 2032.0 5.7899 8.1182 2033.0 5.7649 8.1518 2034.0 5.7442 8.1892 2035.0 5.7228 8.2265 2036.0 5.7011 8.2634 2037.0 5.6751 8.2958 2038.0 5.6529 8.3323 2039.0 5.6304 8.3601 2040.0 5.6075 8.3962 2041.0 5.5803 8.4235 2042.0 5.5568 8.4588 2043.0 5.5290 8.4858 2044.0 5.5052 8.5165 2045.0 5.4811 8.5469 2046.0 5.4524 8.5730 2047.0 5.4319 8.5988 2048.0 5.4028 8.6286 2049.0 5.3735 8.6538 2050.0 5.3481 8.6789 2051.0 5.3324 8.7176 2052.0 5.3203 8.7563 2053.0 5.3084 8.7905 2054.0 5.2961 8.8286 2055.0 5.2795 8.8666 2056.0 5.2667 8.8999 2057.0 5.2498 8.9374 2058.0 5.2326 8.9706 2059.0 5.2193 9.0033 2060.0 5.2060 9.0316 2061.0 5.1924 9.0681 2062.0 5.1745 9.0959 2063.0 5.1605 9.1238 2064.0 5.1464 9.1554 2065.0 5.1282 9.1827 2066.0 5.1137 9.2138 2067.0 5.0991 9.2363 2068.0 5.0802 9.2630 2069.0 5.0654 9.2894 2070.0 5.0505 9.3155 2071.0 5.0354 9.3370 2072.0 5.0202 9.3587 2073.0 5.0005 9.3799 2074.0 4.9850 9.4051 2075.0 4.9695 9.4259 2076.0 4.9337 9.4266 2077.0 4.8977 9.4226 2078.0 4.8617 9.4230 2079.0 4.8255 9.4226 2080.0 4.7891 9.4183 2081.0 4.7525 9.4133 2082.0 4.7160 9.4084 2083.0 4.6793 9.4029 2084.0 4.6425 9.3976 2085.0 4.6056 9.3915 2086.0 4.5684 9.3859 2087.0 4.5354 9.3712 2088.0 4.4980 9.3649 2089.0 4.4607 9.3538 2090.0 4.4274 9.3429 2091.0 4.3940 9.3313 2092.0 4.3561 9.3200 2093.0 4.3225 9.3083 2094.0 4.2847 9.2922 2095.0 4.2507 9.2800 2096.0 4.2168 9.2674 2097.0 4.1785 9.2506 2098.0 4.1403 9.2336 2099.0 4.1103 9.2166 2100.0 4.0718 9.1992 2101.0 3.2110 8.3463 2102.0 2.7811 7.8978 2103.0 2.5207 7.6217 2104.0 2.3611 7.4410 2105.0 2.2613 7.3241 2106.0 2.1971 7.2380 2107.0 2.1540 7.1727 2108.0 2.1235 7.1195 2109.0 2.1005 7.0736 2110.0 2.0822 7.0321 2111.0 2.0668 6.9931 2112.0 2.0533 6.9515 2113.0 2.0412 6.9150 2114.0 2.0300 6.8751 2115.0 2.0195 6.8357 2116.0 2.0097 6.8006 2117.0 2.0004 6.7620 2118.0 1.9916 6.7273 2119.0 1.9831 6.6846 2120.0 1.9751 6.6458 2121.0 1.9673 6.6072 2122.0 1.9598 6.5687 2123.0 1.9526 6.5305 2124.0 1.9456 6.4875 2125.0 1.9387 6.4485 2126.0 1.9321 6.4101 2127.0 1.9256 6.3668 2128.0 1.9192 6.3235 2129.0 1.9129 6.2845 2130.0 1.9068 6.2410 2131.0 1.9007 6.1971 2132.0 1.8947 6.1578 2133.0 1.8887 6.1136 2134.0 1.8828 6.0693 2135.0 1.8770 6.0250 2136.0 1.8712 5.9805 2137.0 1.8654 5.9358 2138.0 1.8597 5.8908 2139.0 1.8540 5.8458 2140.0 1.8483 5.8004 2141.0 1.8426 5.7506 2142.0 1.8369 5.7050 2143.0 1.8313 5.6589 2144.0 1.8257 5.6127 2145.0 1.8201 5.5625 2146.0 1.8145 5.5159 2147.0 1.8090 5.4653 2148.0 1.8034 5.4227 2149.0 1.7979 5.3756 2150.0 1.7923 5.3243 2151.0 1.7868 5.2727 2152.0 1.7813 5.2254 2153.0 1.7759 5.1776 2154.0 1.7704 5.1259 2155.0 1.7649 5.0777 2156.0 1.7595 5.0296 2157.0 1.7541 4.9775 2158.0 1.7487 4.9289 2159.0 1.7433 4.8806 2160.0 1.7380 4.8276 2161.0 1.7326 4.7792 2162.0 1.7273 4.7260 2163.0 1.7220 4.6771 2164.0 1.7168 4.6279 2165.0 1.7115 4.5785 2166.0 1.7063 4.5249 2167.0 1.7011 4.4756 2168.0 1.6959 4.4260 2169.0 1.6908 4.3764 2170.0 1.6857 4.3225 2171.0 1.6806 4.2728 2172.0 1.6755 4.2227 2173.0 1.6705 4.1769 2174.0 1.6655 4.1269 2175.0 1.6605 4.0766 2176.0 1.6556 4.0265 2177.0 1.6507 3.9761 2178.0 1.6458 3.9258 2179.0 1.6409 3.8754 2180.0 1.6361 3.8288 2181.0 1.6313 3.7785 2182.0 1.6265 3.7319 2183.0 1.6218 3.6813 2184.0 1.6171 3.6305 2185.0 1.6124 3.5839 2186.0 1.6078 3.5371 2187.0 1.6032 3.4865 2188.0 1.5986 3.4394 2189.0 1.5941 3.3927 2190.0 1.5896 3.3458 2191.0 1.5852 3.2946 2192.0 1.5807 3.2480 2193.0 1.5763 3.2010 2194.0 1.5720 3.1538 2195.0 1.5676 3.1109 2196.0 1.5633 3.0642 2197.0 1.5591 3.0171 2198.0 1.5548 2.9701 2199.0 1.5506 2.9270 2200.0 1.5465 2.8800 2201.0 1.5423 2.8455 2202.0 1.5383 2.8334 2203.0 1.5342 2.8223 2204.0 1.5302 2.8115 2205.0 1.5262 2.8009 2206.0 1.5222 2.7904 2207.0 1.5183 2.7801 2208.0 1.5144 2.7699 2209.0 1.5105 2.7598 2210.0 1.5067 2.7499 2211.0 1.5029 2.7400 2212.0 1.4991 2.7303 2213.0 1.4954 2.7206 2214.0 1.4917 2.7111 2215.0 1.4880 2.7017 2216.0 1.4843 2.6924 2217.0 1.4807 2.6832 2218.0 1.4772 2.6741 2219.0 1.4736 2.6651 2220.0 1.4701 2.6562 2221.0 1.4666 2.6474 2222.0 1.4631 2.6387 2223.0 1.4597 2.6302 2224.0 1.4563 2.6217 2225.0 1.4529 2.6132 2226.0 1.4496 2.6049 2227.0 1.4463 2.5967 2228.0 1.4430 2.5886 2229.0 1.4398 2.5805 2230.0 1.4365 2.5726 2231.0 1.4333 2.5647 2232.0 1.4302 2.5569 2233.0 1.4270 2.5493 2234.0 1.4239 2.5416 2235.0 1.4208 2.5341 2236.0 1.4178 2.5267 2237.0 1.4147 2.5193 2238.0 1.4117 2.5120 2239.0 1.4087 2.5048 2240.0 1.4058 2.4977 2241.0 1.4028 2.4906 2242.0 1.3999 2.4837 2243.0 1.3971 2.4767 2244.0 1.3942 2.4699 2245.0 1.3914 2.4632 2246.0 1.3886 2.4565 2247.0 1.3858 2.4499 2248.0 1.3830 2.4433 2249.0 1.3803 2.4368 2250.0 1.3776 2.4304 2251.0 1.3749 2.4241 2252.0 1.3722 2.4178 2253.0 1.3695 2.4116 2254.0 1.3669 2.4055 2255.0 1.3643 2.3994 2256.0 1.3617 2.3934 2257.0 1.3592 2.3874 2258.0 1.3566 2.3815 2259.0 1.3541 2.3757 2260.0 1.3516 2.3699 2261.0 1.3492 2.3642 2262.0 1.3467 2.3585 2263.0 1.3443 2.3529 2264.0 1.3418 2.3474 2265.0 1.3395 2.3419 2266.0 1.3371 2.3365 2267.0 1.3347 2.3311 2268.0 1.3324 2.3258 2269.0 1.3301 2.3205 2270.0 1.3278 2.3153 2271.0 1.3255 2.3101 2272.0 1.3232 2.3050 2273.0 1.3210 2.2999 2274.0 1.3187 2.2949 2275.0 1.3165 2.2900 2276.0 1.3143 2.2850 2277.0 1.3121 2.2802 2278.0 1.3100 2.2753 2279.0 1.3078 2.2706 2280.0 1.3057 2.2658 2281.0 1.3036 2.2611 2282.0 1.3015 2.2565 2283.0 1.2994 2.2519 2284.0 1.2973 2.2473 2285.0 1.2953 2.2428 2286.0 1.2933 2.2384 2287.0 1.2912 2.2339 2288.0 1.2892 2.2295 2289.0 1.2872 2.2252 2290.0 1.2853 2.2209 2291.0 1.2833 2.2166 2292.0 1.2814 2.2124 2293.0 1.2794 2.2082 2294.0 1.2775 2.2040 2295.0 1.2756 2.1999 2296.0 1.2737 2.1958 2297.0 1.2718 2.1918 2298.0 1.2699 2.1878 2299.0 1.2681 2.1838 2300.0 1.2662 2.1799