6 465 3 Source: M. Heimann, J. Kaduk, K. Kurz, and E. Maier-Reimer Max Planck Institute for Meteorology Hamburg, Germany Model H: Stabilization scenarios - flux to atmosphere, fossil (Gt C/yr) YEAR S450 S650 1835.0 0.39 0.39 1836.0 0.46 0.46 1837.0 0.47 0.47 1838.0 0.49 0.49 1839.0 0.51 0.51 1840.0 0.53 0.53 1841.0 0.55 0.55 1842.0 0.56 0.56 1843.0 0.57 0.57 1844.0 0.57 0.57 1845.0 0.58 0.58 1846.0 0.58 0.58 1847.0 0.58 0.58 1848.0 0.58 0.58 1849.0 0.57 0.57 1850.0 0.57 0.57 1851.0 0.53 0.53 1852.0 0.52 0.52 1853.0 0.50 0.50 1854.0 0.48 0.48 1855.0 0.47 0.47 1856.0 0.46 0.46 1857.0 0.45 0.45 1858.0 0.44 0.44 1859.0 0.44 0.44 1860.0 0.43 0.43 1861.0 0.45 0.45 1862.0 0.45 0.45 1863.0 0.45 0.45 1864.0 0.46 0.46 1865.0 0.47 0.47 1866.0 0.48 0.48 1867.0 0.49 0.49 1868.0 0.51 0.51 1869.0 0.52 0.52 1870.0 0.54 0.54 1871.0 0.56 0.56 1872.0 0.58 0.58 1873.0 0.60 0.60 1874.0 0.62 0.62 1875.0 0.65 0.65 1876.0 0.68 0.68 1877.0 0.71 0.71 1878.0 0.74 0.74 1879.0 0.77 0.77 1880.0 0.80 0.80 1881.0 0.80 0.80 1882.0 0.81 0.81 1883.0 0.84 0.84 1884.0 0.86 0.86 1885.0 0.88 0.88 1886.0 0.91 0.91 1887.0 0.93 0.93 1888.0 0.95 0.95 1889.0 0.97 0.97 1890.0 0.98 0.98 1891.0 1.00 1.00 1892.0 1.01 1.01 1893.0 1.02 1.02 1894.0 1.02 1.02 1895.0 1.03 1.03 1896.0 1.04 1.04 1897.0 1.04 1.04 1898.0 1.05 1.05 1899.0 1.06 1.06 1900.0 1.08 1.08 1901.0 1.03 1.03 1902.0 1.04 1.04 1903.0 1.05 1.05 1904.0 1.07 1.07 1905.0 1.09 1.09 1906.0 1.11 1.11 1907.0 1.13 1.13 1908.0 1.16 1.16 1909.0 1.18 1.18 1910.0 1.20 1.20 1911.0 1.28 1.28 1912.0 1.32 1.32 1913.0 1.35 1.35 1914.0 1.37 1.37 1915.0 1.40 1.40 1916.0 1.42 1.42 1917.0 1.43 1.43 1918.0 1.45 1.45 1919.0 1.46 1.46 1920.0 1.47 1.47 1921.0 1.43 1.43 1922.0 1.43 1.43 1923.0 1.42 1.42 1924.0 1.42 1.42 1925.0 1.41 1.41 1926.0 1.41 1.41 1927.0 1.41 1.41 1928.0 1.42 1.42 1929.0 1.44 1.44 1930.0 1.44 1.44 1931.0 1.43 1.43 1932.0 1.43 1.43 1933.0 1.43 1.43 1934.0 1.44 1.44 1935.0 1.44 1.44 1936.0 1.45 1.45 1937.0 1.45 1.45 1938.0 1.47 1.47 1939.0 1.49 1.49 1940.0 1.52 1.52 1941.0 1.57 1.57 1942.0 1.61 1.61 1943.0 1.65 1.65 1944.0 1.70 1.70 1945.0 1.74 1.74 1946.0 1.74 1.74 1947.0 1.78 1.78 1948.0 1.83 1.83 1949.0 1.89 1.89 1950.0 1.94 1.94 1951.0 1.83 1.83 1952.0 1.86 1.86 1953.0 1.93 1.93 1954.0 1.90 1.90 1955.0 1.95 1.95 1956.0 2.00 2.00 1957.0 2.17 2.17 1958.0 2.28 2.28 1959.0 2.38 2.38 1960.0 2.47 2.47 1961.0 2.39 2.39 1962.0 2.43 2.43 1963.0 2.48 2.48 1964.0 2.57 2.57 1965.0 2.71 2.71 1966.0 2.93 2.93 1967.0 3.13 3.13 1968.0 3.32 3.32 1969.0 3.52 3.52 1970.0 3.77 3.77 1971.0 3.97 3.97 1972.0 4.17 4.17 1973.0 4.27 4.27 1974.0 4.41 4.41 1975.0 4.57 4.57 1976.0 4.66 4.66 1977.0 4.82 4.82 1978.0 4.99 4.99 1979.0 5.09 5.09 1980.0 5.20 5.20 1981.0 5.29 5.29 1982.0 5.36 5.36 1983.0 5.46 5.46 1984.0 5.54 5.54 1985.0 5.65 5.65 1986.0 5.72 5.72 1987.0 5.82 5.82 1988.0 5.90 5.90 1989.0 5.98 5.98 1990.0 6.03 6.03 1991.0 6.11 6.15 1992.0 6.12 6.21 1993.0 6.19 6.33 1994.0 6.26 6.45 1995.0 6.32 6.57 1996.0 6.38 6.68 1997.0 6.43 6.79 1998.0 6.48 6.90 1999.0 6.53 7.00 2000.0 6.57 7.11 2001.0 6.57 7.17 2002.0 6.56 7.23 2003.0 6.55 7.28 2004.0 6.54 7.34 2005.0 6.53 7.39 2006.0 6.51 7.44 2007.0 6.49 7.48 2008.0 6.47 7.53 2009.0 6.45 7.57 2010.0 6.43 7.62 2011.0 6.40 7.66 2012.0 6.37 7.70 2013.0 6.35 7.74 2014.0 6.32 7.78 2015.0 6.28 7.82 2016.0 6.25 7.85 2017.0 6.22 7.89 2018.0 6.19 7.92 2019.0 6.15 7.95 2020.0 6.12 7.98 2021.0 6.08 8.01 2022.0 6.04 8.04 2023.0 6.00 8.07 2024.0 5.96 8.09 2025.0 5.92 8.12 2026.0 5.88 8.15 2027.0 5.85 8.17 2028.0 5.81 8.20 2029.0 5.77 8.23 2030.0 5.73 8.25 2031.0 5.70 8.28 2032.0 5.65 8.30 2033.0 5.62 8.32 2034.0 5.58 8.35 2035.0 5.53 8.37 2036.0 5.49 8.38 2037.0 5.45 8.41 2038.0 5.41 8.42 2039.0 5.37 8.44 2040.0 5.33 8.45 2041.0 5.28 8.47 2042.0 5.24 8.48 2043.0 5.20 8.50 2044.0 5.15 8.51 2045.0 5.11 8.52 2046.0 5.07 8.53 2047.0 5.02 8.55 2048.0 4.98 8.55 2049.0 4.93 8.56 2050.0 4.89 8.57 2051.0 4.87 8.60 2052.0 4.84 8.63 2053.0 4.82 8.66 2054.0 4.80 8.69 2055.0 4.78 8.71 2056.0 4.75 8.74 2057.0 4.73 8.76 2058.0 4.71 8.79 2059.0 4.68 8.81 2060.0 4.65 8.83 2061.0 4.63 8.85 2062.0 4.60 8.87 2063.0 4.58 8.88 2064.0 4.55 8.89 2065.0 4.52 8.91 2066.0 4.49 8.92 2067.0 4.46 8.93 2068.0 4.43 8.94 2069.0 4.41 8.96 2070.0 4.38 8.96 2071.0 4.35 8.97 2072.0 4.33 8.99 2073.0 4.31 9.01 2074.0 4.29 9.03 2075.0 4.27 9.04 2076.0 4.22 9.02 2077.0 4.17 9.00 2078.0 4.11 8.98 2079.0 4.06 8.95 2080.0 4.00 8.93 2081.0 3.95 8.90 2082.0 3.90 8.88 2083.0 3.85 8.85 2084.0 3.80 8.83 2085.0 3.74 8.80 2086.0 3.69 8.77 2087.0 3.64 8.75 2088.0 3.59 8.72 2089.0 3.54 8.69 2090.0 3.49 8.66 2091.0 3.44 8.64 2092.0 3.39 8.61 2093.0 3.34 8.57 2094.0 3.29 8.55 2095.0 3.24 8.52 2096.0 3.19 8.48 2097.0 3.15 8.45 2098.0 3.10 8.42 2099.0 3.05 8.38 2100.0 3.01 8.35 2101.0 2.98 8.31 2102.0 2.95 8.27 2103.0 2.93 8.22 2104.0 2.91 8.18 2105.0 2.89 8.13 2106.0 2.87 8.09 2107.0 2.85 8.04 2108.0 2.83 8.00 2109.0 2.81 7.95 2110.0 2.79 7.90 2111.0 2.77 7.86 2112.0 2.75 7.81 2113.0 2.74 7.76 2114.0 2.72 7.71 2115.0 2.70 7.66 2116.0 2.69 7.61 2117.0 2.67 7.57 2118.0 2.65 7.51 2119.0 2.64 7.47 2120.0 2.62 7.41 2121.0 2.61 7.36 2122.0 2.59 7.31 2123.0 2.58 7.26 2124.0 2.57 7.21 2125.0 2.55 7.16 2126.0 2.54 7.10 2127.0 2.53 7.05 2128.0 2.51 7.00 2129.0 2.50 6.95 2130.0 2.49 6.89 2131.0 2.47 6.84 2132.0 2.46 6.79 2133.0 2.45 6.73 2134.0 2.44 6.68 2135.0 2.43 6.62 2136.0 2.41 6.57 2137.0 2.40 6.51 2138.0 2.39 6.46 2139.0 2.38 6.40 2140.0 2.37 6.35 2141.0 2.36 6.29 2142.0 2.35 6.24 2143.0 2.34 6.18 2144.0 2.33 6.13 2145.0 2.31 6.07 2146.0 2.30 6.01 2147.0 2.29 5.96 2148.0 2.28 5.90 2149.0 2.27 5.85 2150.0 2.26 5.79 2151.0 2.26 5.74 2152.0 2.25 5.68 2153.0 2.24 5.62 2154.0 2.23 5.57 2155.0 2.22 5.51 2156.0 2.21 5.45 2157.0 2.20 5.40 2158.0 2.19 5.34 2159.0 2.18 5.29 2160.0 2.17 5.23 2161.0 2.16 5.17 2162.0 2.16 5.12 2163.0 2.15 5.07 2164.0 2.14 5.01 2165.0 2.13 4.95 2166.0 2.12 4.90 2167.0 2.11 4.85 2168.0 2.11 4.79 2169.0 2.10 4.73 2170.0 2.09 4.68 2171.0 2.08 4.63 2172.0 2.07 4.57 2173.0 2.07 4.52 2174.0 2.06 4.46 2175.0 2.05 4.41 2176.0 2.04 4.36 2177.0 2.04 4.30 2178.0 2.03 4.25 2179.0 2.02 4.20 2180.0 2.02 4.15 2181.0 2.01 4.09 2182.0 2.00 4.04 2183.0 1.99 3.99 2184.0 1.99 3.94 2185.0 1.98 3.89 2186.0 1.97 3.84 2187.0 1.97 3.79 2188.0 1.96 3.74 2189.0 1.95 3.69 2190.0 1.95 3.64 2191.0 1.94 3.59 2192.0 1.93 3.54 2193.0 1.93 3.49 2194.0 1.92 3.44 2195.0 1.92 3.39 2196.0 1.91 3.34 2197.0 1.90 3.30 2198.0 1.90 3.25 2199.0 1.89 3.20 2200.0 1.89 3.16 2201.0 1.88 3.14 2202.0 1.87 3.13 2203.0 1.87 3.11 2204.0 1.86 3.10 2205.0 1.86 3.09 2206.0 1.85 3.08 2207.0 1.84 3.06 2208.0 1.84 3.05 2209.0 1.83 3.04 2210.0 1.83 3.03 2211.0 1.82 3.02 2212.0 1.82 3.01 2213.0 1.81 3.00 2214.0 1.81 2.99 2215.0 1.80 2.98 2216.0 1.80 2.97 2217.0 1.79 2.95 2218.0 1.79 2.94 2219.0 1.78 2.94 2220.0 1.78 2.93 2221.0 1.77 2.92 2222.0 1.76 2.91 2223.0 1.76 2.90 2224.0 1.75 2.89 2225.0 1.75 2.88 2226.0 1.75 2.87 2227.0 1.74 2.86 2228.0 1.74 2.85 2229.0 1.73 2.84 2230.0 1.73 2.83 2231.0 1.72 2.82 2232.0 1.72 2.82 2233.0 1.71 2.81 2234.0 1.71 2.80 2235.0 1.70 2.79 2236.0 1.70 2.78 2237.0 1.69 2.77 2238.0 1.69 2.77 2239.0 1.68 2.76 2240.0 1.68 2.75 2241.0 1.68 2.74 2242.0 1.67 2.74 2243.0 1.67 2.73 2244.0 1.66 2.72 2245.0 1.66 2.71 2246.0 1.65 2.70 2247.0 1.65 2.70 2248.0 1.64 2.69 2249.0 1.64 2.68 2250.0 1.64 2.68 2251.0 1.63 2.67 2252.0 1.63 2.66 2253.0 1.62 2.65 2254.0 1.62 2.65 2255.0 1.62 2.64 2256.0 1.61 2.63 2257.0 1.61 2.63 2258.0 1.60 2.62 2259.0 1.60 2.61 2260.0 1.60 2.61 2261.0 1.59 2.60 2262.0 1.59 2.59 2263.0 1.58 2.59 2264.0 1.58 2.58 2265.0 1.58 2.57 2266.0 1.57 2.57 2267.0 1.57 2.56 2268.0 1.57 2.55 2269.0 1.56 2.55 2270.0 1.56 2.54 2271.0 1.55 2.54 2272.0 1.55 2.53 2273.0 1.55 2.52 2274.0 1.54 2.52 2275.0 1.54 2.51 2276.0 1.54 2.51 2277.0 1.53 2.50 2278.0 1.53 2.49 2279.0 1.53 2.49 2280.0 1.52 2.48 2281.0 1.52 2.48 2282.0 1.51 2.47 2283.0 1.51 2.47 2284.0 1.51 2.46 2285.0 1.50 2.45 2286.0 1.50 2.45 2287.0 1.50 2.44 2288.0 1.49 2.44 2289.0 1.49 2.43 2290.0 1.49 2.43 2291.0 1.48 2.42 2292.0 1.48 2.42 2293.0 1.48 2.41 2294.0 1.47 2.41 2295.0 1.47 2.40 2296.0 1.47 2.40 2297.0 1.47 2.39 2298.0 1.46 2.39 2299.0 1.46 2.38